Originally Posted by
mknight
Manufacturers as well as public try to extrapolate what people will buy and manus will make in 10 years based on a few months of sales differences.
That can bring totally crazy results both ways. Some people (often outside of automotive) predicted that everyone will only buy EVs in 5-10 years. Similarly some people (often those that have 0 EV experience) predict that there won't be any EVs in 5-10 years.
The result will be somewhere in between. If regulations stay about the same I expect something like 50/50 for BEV vs others (incl Hybrids) in Europe in 10 years. Here in Norway it's 80/20 for quite some time now and I don't see it changing more than 5-10 percent either way.
What is mentioned in the Dirtfish article is that right now (last 3 months) EV sales globally have slowed down, so some manus found out that they might not have anything (new) to offer outside of EVs in the very near future and are re-routing some money to other drivetrains. Whether that is temporary fix or permanent is close to impossible to predict at the moment.
+ with a 4WD car. Globally agree on that point, I’m skeptical about making such a big jump without a transition period with for exemple Rally4 car in ERC. Baudet sounds in better situation for...
[WRC] Central European Rally...