Rallyforum Prediction Challenge - 2nd Edition - 2024 Season

[seb_sh]

It's time to get your thinking caps on for the 2nd edition of the prediction challenge!

Short intro for those who haven't participated last year: The prediction challenge consists of 40 questions, starting with some usual ones and getting more creative as you go. In short you can think of it as something between the crystal ball and the rally by rally pickems.

Other infos:
- some questions are the same as last year, some are modified, some are new
- the points for each question are explained in the form
- if you have any questions don't hesitate to ask here
- entries are open starting now and close on the 21th of January, end of day
- results will be posted in the first part of december
- main thing is to have fun ;)

Click here to go to the form: https://forms.gle/nm7WpXB7xCB4iyuQA

[seb_sh]

For fairness I have already made my picks to not be influenced by what others are choosing, don't peek until you've made your response :)

https://i.ibb.co/5sYdrXX/Rally-Prediction-Challenge-2nd-Edition-Responses-Form-Responses-1-2-1.png (https://ibb.co/5sYdrXX)

https://i.ibb.co/yYZVDDb/Rally-Prediction-Challenge-2nd-Edition-Responses-Form-Responses-1-2-2.png (https://ibb.co/yYZVDDb)

[Rallyper]

Did mine. :) :)

[WRCStan]

Done.

[Peperoma]

Done

[seb_sh]

Bumping this up, less than a week to go, entries close this weekend, Sunday evening before I go to bed :)

[Eli]

Done.

[Corcaíoch]

Done! Thanks for organising this again this year!

[seb_sh]

Entries are now closed, there are 36 participants!

In the next few days I will post a few statistics I think are interesting from the responses.

[M3 Jambo]

Entered last year, would have this year as well but didn't realise the closing date was so early - doh. Good luck to those taking part.

[seb_sh]

Entered last year, would have this year as well but didn't realise the closing date was so early - doh. Good luck to those taking part.

sorry to hear, I will try to do more reminders next year :)

[seb_sh]

As promised here are some stats:

Tanak is favourite for the title with 55% of picks but Toyota is favourite for the teams title with 58% of picks. Half of the participants think the title will be decided at Central Europe Rally.

Oliver Solberg is by far the favourite for WRC2 - 67% of picks, next is Pajari with only 17%.

It seems Latvia will be a banger rally - it's the highest picked to have the smallest winning margin (28%). On the other side, seems people expect to be some issues in Poland 55% picked it as the rally that will have most cancelled stages.

Poor Fourmaux is "favourite" to complete the fewest stages (67%) and also retire first on each rally (55%). His team-mate Munster is second in both, not much confidence in MSport Ford overall. However watch out for Fourmaux in Croatia, most people picked that rally to get his points (28%).

Finally related to the controversial points system, most expect that there will be 2 or 3 rallies in which the Saturday leader will not also win the rally overall (19% and 33%).

Thanks for participating, results at the beginning of December after the dust settles.