Weather Forecast for Dover Weekend

[slorydn1]

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.

Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday Night: A chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 71.


Interesting weekend in store, as a "triple header" weekend is always a challenge because you need 4 straight days of good weather to pull of the whole schedule of practices and qualifying and the like...

Friday's weather is looking a little iffy at this point, but its still way early yet....

[slorydn1]

Thursday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. East northeast wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

[Iceman778]

thanks for the info

[slorydn1]

Thursday: Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 63. North northeast wind around 8 mph becoming southeast.

Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Southwest wind between 9 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. West wind between 13 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

[slorydn1]

000
Fxus61 Kphi 130138
Afdphi

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj
938 Pm Edt Wed May 12 2010

.synopsis...
Low Pressure Will Exit The Region This Evening...as High Pressure
Builds South From Quebec Tonight And Thursday. A Warm Front Will
Move North Of The Area Thursday Night...followed By A Cold Front
Friday Afternoon And Friday Evening. High Pressure Building In
From The Midwest Will Bring A Dry Weekend And Beginning Of Next
Week.

&&

.near Term /until 6 Am Thursday Morning/...
At 8:00 Pm, Thunderstorms Continued To Move Off The Virginia Coast
And Out To Sea. There Were A Few Lingering Showers In Our Region
Over Northeastern Maryland, Delaware And Extreme Southern New
Jersey. The Precipitation Will Continue To Drift Off The Coast.

For The Overnight, Dry Air Will Try To Push Down From The North.
We May Eventually See Some Breaks In The Cloud Cover Over Our
Northern Counties. As A Result, We Will Maintain The Mention Of
Patchy Fog, As Well As Patchy Frost In The Far North.

&&

.short Term /6 Am Thursday Morning Through Saturday/...
The Surface High Nosing Down From Quebec Should Allow The Low
Level Moisture To Be Scoured. However...high Then Mid Level
Cloudiness Ahead Of A Short Wave In The Northern Stream Will Bring
Back Clouds In The Afternoon. Right Now...the Column Appears Too
Dry For Precipitation In The Warm Air Advection...so Precipitation
Should Be Held To The West During The Day. After A Cool
Start...highs Should Reach A Blend Of Mos Numbers...as The Gfs Mos
May Be Too Cool Given Sunshine In The Morning.

The Best Warm Air Advection Occurs Between 0300 Utc And 0900 Utc
Friday. The Best Band Of Showers With The Warm Air Advection
Should Occur Near The 850-700 Mb Frontogenetic Forcing...which
Models Show Across The Northern Zones And North. Based On The
Impressive 850 Mb Wind Field And Returning Moisture...qpf Amounts
Near One- Half Inch Are Possible The Poconos And Northwest New
Jersey.

Further South...where The Warm Air Advection Is Less
Focused...the Shower Chances Were Dropped As You Go South. The
Combination Of Clouds And A Southerly Flow Should Prevent
Temperatures From Dropping Much After Initial Evening Cooling. A
Blend Of Mos Numbers Was Used A Template For Lows...then Nudged Up
A Bit.

The Forecast Area Looks To Be In A Warm Sector Friday. At This
Point...not Sure If The Warm Air Advection Thursday Night Does Not
Scour Most Of The Available Moisture For Friday. This And The
Amount Of Cloudiness Could Be Limiting Factors For Convective
Development Friday. Will Continue To Mention Convection For
Friday...but The Strength Of The Convection Is Still In Doubt.

A Short Wave Dropping Through The Mid Level Closed System Over
New England Will Bring Clearing Friday Night...and Cool
Temperatures Will A Breeze Saturday.

&&

.long Term /saturday Night Through Wednesday/...
The Overall Synoptic Pattern Remains On The Active Side As
Additional Energy Moves Through The Western U.s. And Ejects Out
Into The Plains States. This Then Slides Eastward And Impacts The
Northeast And Mid Atlantic Regions. A Deep Trough Over The
Canadian Maritimes May Tend To Block Things Up A Bit, Thus There
Are Some Timing Differences With The Energy That Moves Eastward
Across The Central Plains Late In The Weekend, And Then Makes Its
Way Toward Our Area Early In The Week. Overall, It Appears That
One Main Storm System Will Impact Our Sensible Weather During This
Time Frame. Hpc Went More With The Ecmwf For Saturday Night And
Sunday And Then An Even Blend Of The Ecmwf And Gefs Mean For
Monday Through Wednesday.

Based On The Above, High Pressure Over The Great Lakes Late
Saturday Will Build Eastward As Ridging Also Moves East.
Meanwhile, A Stationary Front Is Forecast To Be Across The
Southern States. The Surface High Looks To Settle Over Our Region
Monday While Energy Begins To Take Shape Across The Central
Plains. The Short Wave Energy And Associated Trough Will Spawn A
Surface Low, Which Is Then Forecast To Track East-northeastward
Monday Night And Tuesday. The Return Flow Around The Departing
Surface High Coupled With A Strengthen Flow Ahead Of The Surface
Low Will Allow For A Developing Waa And Overrunning Type Of
Pattern Across The Mid Atlantic. This Will Allow The
Aforementioned From To Begin Moving Northward As A Warm Front. The
Southeasterly Flow Ahead Of The Advancing Warm Front Should Allow
For Airmass Moistening, Although Dry Air In Place Beforehand May
Tend To Hold On Longer. As A Result, We Delayed The Pops A Bit
From Southwest To Northeast Late Monday Night And Tuesday. There
Still Could Be Some Blocking Upstream, Which May Force The Surface
Low More South Compared To East-northeast. If This Occurs, The
Warm Front May Not Get To Far North Across Our Cwa Tuesday Night
Into Wednesday. Given The Uncertainty Though, We Did Not Want To
Go With Much Cooler Temperatures. We Will Carry Chc Pops Tuesday
Through Wednesday, And Given The Forecast Position Of The Warm
Front Attm, Chc Thunder Was Included Across Our Southern Zones.
The Southeasterly Flow Ahead Of The Warm Front Should Tend To Hold
Temperatures Down Some Especially Closer To The Coast.

&&

[slorydn1]

This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Some storms could be severe, with large hail and gusty winds. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. West southwest wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind between 8 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind around 15 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Northwest wind between 3 and 7 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. North wind around 7 mph.

[slorydn1]

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj
330 Am Edt Fri May 14 2010

Dez001>004-mdz008-012-015-019-020-njz001-007>010-012>027-paz054-055-
060>062-067>071-150730-
New Castle-kent-inland Sussex-delaware Beaches-cecil-kent Md-
Queen Annes-talbot-caroline-sussex-warren-morris-hunterdon-somerset-
Middlesex-western Monmouth-eastern Monmouth-mercer-salem-gloucester-
Camden-northwestern Burlington-ocean-cumberland-atlantic-cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-coastal Atlantic-coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-carbon-monroe-berks-lehigh-northampton-
Chester-montgomery-bucks-delaware-philadelphia-
330 Am Edt Fri May 14 2010

This Hazardous Weather Outlook Is For Central Delaware...northern
Delaware...southern Delaware...northeast Maryland...central New
Jersey...northern New Jersey...northwest New Jersey...southern New
Jersey...east Central Pennsylvania...northeast Pennsylvania And
Southeast Pennsylvania.

.day One...today And Tonight.

Scattered Thunderstorms Are Forecast For Today...especially This
Afternoon And This Evening. Some Of The Thunderstorms May Be
Severe...with The Main Threats Being Damaging Winds And Large
Hail.

.days Two Through Seven...saturday Through Thursday.

Hazardous Weather Is Not Expected At This Time.

.spotter Information Statement...

Spotter Activation May Be Need Today...mainly This Afternoon And
This Evening.

[slorydn1]

Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 72. North northwest wind between 3 and 8 mph.


Beautiful, just a beautiful day for racin'.

[slorydn1]

000
FXUS61 KPHI 160755
AFDPHI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
355 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --
HIGH PRESSURE, LOCATED OVER THE GREAT LAKES EARLY THIS MORNING,
WILL BUILD TO THE EAST AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE OUR
REGION INTO EARLY MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY, WITH A SECONDARY LOW EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. THE
COASTAL LOW SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS ANTICIPATED TO BUILD INTO
OUR REGION FROM THE WEST FOR THURSDAY, FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
-- End Changed Discussion --


&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
-- Changed Discussion --
AT 3:30 AM, THERE WAS A FAIR AMOUNT OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS
OVERHEAD, ALONG WITH SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES IN
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, NEW JERSEY, DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN
MARYLAND WERE GENERALLY IN THE 50S. THERE WERE SOME READINGS IN
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THE UPPER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO VEER A BIT DURING THE DAY. AS A
RESULT, THE HIGH CLOUDS WILL LIKELY BE SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH AND
THEY MAY THIN A BIT, AS WELL. WE WILL CARRY A PARTLY SUNNY
FORECAST FOR MOST LOCATIONS. OUR COUNTIES IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
SHOULD SEE THE MOST SUNSHINE TODAY.

AT THE SURFACE, THE FLOW WILL FAVOR THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER, WIND
SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. WITH LITTLE
RESISTANCE, THE SEA BREEZE FRONT MAY BEGIN TO MAKE SOME PROGRESS
INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO RISE
INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S THROUGHOUT MOST OF OUR REGION, WITH
CONDITIONS BEING SLIGHTLY COOLER IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
-- End Changed Discussion --