Weather Forecast for Samsung Mobile 500 weekend

[slorydn1]

Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. South southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 79.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77.

Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

[slorydn1]

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 77. South wind around 10 mph.

Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to between 15 and 20 mph. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 59. Southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75.

Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Looks like hit or miss situation the entire weekend.....nice temps, anyway

[slorydn1]

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Area Forecast Discussion...updated
National Weather Service Fort Worth Tx
621 Pm Cdt Tue Apr 13 2010

.aviation...
/00z Tafs/

Southeast Winds Will Continue For The Next 24-30 Hours. Expect
Mvfr Cigs To Move Into The Waco Terminal By 10z Wednesday. At
This Time...we Expect The Low Clouds To Skirt The Metroplex Taf
Sites. Later Forecasts Will Have To Monitor This Situation.

&&

.prev Discussion... /issued 350 Pm Cdt Tue Apr 13 2010/
As Temperatures Approached 80 Degrees...limited Surface Moisture
Mixed With Even Drier Air Above 850mb. Afternoon Cu Is Limited To
Western Portions Of The Cwa...where There Were Morning Low Clouds.
The Persistent Cap Will Maintain Its Grip As Heights Aloft
Continue To Increase The Next Couple Of Days. Have Low Confidence
In Pops...but Will Maintain Low-end Chances Wednesday In Western
Zones...where Moisture Will Continue To Be Better. Have Undercut
Guidance Pops Thursday And Friday...but Even That May Be Too High.

Although The Ridge Begins To Weaken Across The Southern States
Late In The Week...it Also Extends Its Reach Well Into The Prairie
Provinces...pushing The Polar Jet North Into A Position More Like
July Than April. The Ecmwf Has Conceded This Is Not Conducive For
A North Texas Fropa...but The Gfs Has Reversed Its Position And
Ushers In The Front. In Winds Grids...will Keep The Front In
Oklahoma. If The Boundary Approaches...it May Help To Initiate
Convection Saturday...though Shear Appears Inadequate For Any
Severe Weather. Better Rain Chances May Come Sunday When Well
Defined Shortwave Impacts The Lone Star State. But Gfs Spaghetti
Plot Is Chaotic...and Large Variations Among Extended Models
Assures Low Confidence At This Point.

Any Showers/thunderstorms During The Next Several Days Would Be
Primarily Of The Afternoon/evening Variety. Temperatures Will
Remain Near Normal Throughout The Forecast Period.

25

[slorydn1]

This Afternoon: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. East wind around 5 mph.

Tonight: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a low around 60. East northeast wind around 5 mph.

Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a high near 72. East northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a low around 54. North northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 66. East northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northeast wind between 5 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Looks like a grey crappy weekend all weekend

[slorydn1]

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth Tx
1226 Pm Cdt Fri Apr 16 2010

.aviation...
Stratus That Moved In Late This Morning Was Not Handled At All By
Either The Gfs Nam Or Ruc. Satellite Pix Shows Clouds Pretty
Thick Over The Airports...so I Cannot Expect It To Lift To Vfr As
Earlier Tafs Indicated. Will Start High Mvfr At 20z. As Showers
Increase This Evening...have Indicated Vcsh At 04z But It May Be
A Bit Earlier. Still Expect More Widespread Showers After
Midnight...and Have Also Indicated Widespread Ifr Before Morning
Slowly Lifting To Mvfr During The Day. 84

&&

.update...
Analysis Of Current...hybrid Warm-core Upper Level Disturbance
Over West Tx And Its Expected Slow...nne Drift Across The South
Plains And Over Srn Ok Through The Weekend...will Combine With
Above Normal Atmospheric Moisture Content And A Weak Frontal
Boundary Drifting Across The Red River For A Prolonged Moderate To
Occasionally Heavy Rain Even Across The Wrn Half Of North Tx
Through This Weekend. A Flood Watch Has Been Issued Generally
Along And West Of A Sherman...dallas...marlin...rockdale/cameron
Line For Potential Of River Flooding On The Leon...brazon...and
Trinity River Basins And Their Tributaries.

Though The System Isn`t Expected To Be Very Unstable Or Convective...
Just The Slow Movement Of The System...moisture...and Possible
Training Over The Same Areas Over Wrn North Tx Can Make For Totals
By Sunday In The 3 To 6 Inch Range...with Locally Higher Amounts.
Lesser Totals Are Expected Farther East Where The Se Conus Sub-
Tropical High Will Help Keep The Heavier Rain At Bay Until Sunday.
Current Hpc Day 1 Excessive Outlook Has Our Thoughts In A Graphical
Viewpoint Perfectly. The Watch Was Extended East Into The Waco/temple
/d-fw Areas Due To The Nature Of The Tributaries And Flow. Localized
Flash Flooding This Weekend Can`t Be Ruled Out...but Expect This
To Be More In Tune To A River Flooding Problem Overall.

Forecast Update And Flood Watch Has Already Been Issued. See Advisory Line
Below For Details. 05/

&&

.prev Discussion... /issued 401 Am Cdt Fri Apr 16 2010/
An Interesting Forecast Is Shaping Up For Portions Of North Texas
Over The Next Several Days. As Stated In The Previous Evening
Update...due To Persistent Convection...a Warm Core Low Pressure
System Has Developed And Is Currently Centered South Of Midland.
The 00z Model Package Has For The Most Part Initialized This
Feature Well...and Then Slightly Diverge From One Another As Time
Progresses. Weak Upper Flow Over Texas Suggests That The Low
Pressure System Will Also Have Very Slow Movement Over The Next
Couple Of Days And Current Models Suggest A Slow Track To The E/ne
Over The Next 24 To 36 Hours. For This Afternoon...will Continue
With The Highest Pops In The Western 2 Rows Of Counties And Then A
Sharp Gradient Near The I-35 Corridor.

Meanwhile...a Weak Cold Front Currently Entering Kansas Will Move
South Throughout The Day. This Front Will Not Have A Strong
Driving Force Behind It As The Upper Low Associated With The
Boundary Is Well Off To The Northeast. Therefore...am Expecting
The Front To Stall As It Runs Into The Surface Low Tonight. The
Location Of The Stall Is Dependent On The Location Of The Surface
Low...and Current Thinking Has This Just South Of I-20.

As The Low Pressure System To Our West Slowly Moves E/ne Today And
Tonight...this Will Likely Put Our Western Row Or Two Of Counties
In The Cross Hairs Tomorrow Night For A Band Of Heavy Rainfall.
Another Concerning Factor Is That The Stalling Surface Boundary
Will Serve As A Focus For Regeneration Of Rainfall As The Precip
Wraps Into The Surface Low. The Canadian/ecmwf Have Picked Up On
This Well And Have Over 2 Inches Of Qpf Across Eastland...comanche
And Stephens Counties. There Are Some Discrepancies Between The
Models On The Exact Positioning Of This Band Of Rainfall...as It
Is All Dependent On The Exact Track/position/timing Of The Surface
Low And Frontal Boundary. Given That The Grounds Are Once Again
Pretty Dry And The Uncertainties Previously Mentioned...will Not
Issue A Flash Flood Watch And Just Mention The Possibility Of
Heavy Rainfall In The Hwo. The Day Shift Will Once Again Reassess
The Threat For Flash Flooding And May Issue A Watch If Conditions
Warrant.

As We Progress Into Saturday And Saturday Night...the Low Pressure
System Will Continue To Slowly Move Eastward. As This
Happens...the Best Area For Rainfall Will Also Move East With The
Low. The Frontal Boundary Will Not Be Able To Move Southward
Until The Low Pressure System Is Sheared Apart And This Isnt
Likely To Happen Until Sunday Morning When A 90+ Knot Jet Streak
Moves Overhead. Once This Front Moves South...drier Air Will Be
Able To Filter Into The Region And End The Rain Chances For Monday.
The Mavmos Came In Much Cooler Than Every Other Model For Temps
Sunday And Monday Behind The Front. Will Lean Towards The Warmer
Solution Of Highs In The 60s And 70s Instead Of 50s For Some
Areas.

85/nh

[slorydn1]

Fort Worth Alliance Airport
Lat: 32.98 Lon: -97.32 Elev: 741
Last Update on Apr 16, 1:53 pm CDT

Mostly Cloudy

74 °F
(23 °C)
Humidity: 62 %
Wind Speed: SE 9 MPH
Barometer: 30.12" (1019.1 mb)
Dewpoint: 60 °F (16 °C)
Visibility: 7.00 mi.

[slorydn1]

Today: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 70. East southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Tonight: Occasional showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 55. East southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 57. East wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 49. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: Cloudy, with a high near 68. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Ive added Monday's weather because the forecast for the rest of the weekend looks bad, real bad....

according to the radar,its raining in the area now

[slorydn1]

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Area Forecast Discussion...updated
National Weather Service Fort Worth Tx
644 Am Cdt Sat Apr 17 2010

.aviation...
/12z Tafs/

The Boundary Layer Continues To Saturate...and Ceilings At Taf
Sites Will Gradually Fall To Ifr This Morning. Occasional Showers
May Reduce The Vsby Temporarily...but Overall Vsby Should Remain
Vfr Into The Afternoon Hours. Thereafter...mvfr Vsby May Prevail.

Low Pressure Area Causing Nocturnal Heavy Rain In Western North
Texas May Be Near Metroplex Tonight. Potential For Heavy Rain Late
Tonight Into The Morning Hours Sunday...but For Have Chosen To
Keep Tafs Simple With Ifr Cigs And Categorical Showers.

25

&&


.prev Discussion... /issued 404 Am Cdt Sat Apr 17 2010/
A Wet Weather Pattern Will Continue Across North Texas Through
Sunday As A Weak Upper Level Trough And Cold Front Moves Slowly
Across The Region. Abundant Moisture And Relatively Low Mid Level
Wind Speeds Will Keep A Threat Of Heavy Rainfall With Only
Isolated Thunderstorm Chances. It Appears That The Heaviest
Rainfall Today And Tonight Will Be Confined To About The Western
Half Of The Region Where The Best Isentropic Lift Is Expected.
Therefore...we Will Keep The Flood Watch In Effect Through Sunday
Afternoon Across The Western Two Thirds Of North Texas. Drier Air
Will Begin To Work Into The Region Sunday As The Upper Trough Axis
Shifts To The East And Surface High Pressure Builds Southward.
Average Rainfall Totals In The Watch Area Will Range From 2 To 4
Inches With Some Higher Amounts.

Drier Air And Building Upper Level High Pressure Monday Through
Wednesday Will Bring An End To The Precip Chances. Low Level
Moisture Will Be On The Increase Wednesday Night As Low Pressure
Deepens In The West. There Is A Slight Chance Of Showers And
Thunderstorms Thursday As Large Scale Lift And Instability
Increase With The Approach Of A Strong Low Pressure System. Both
The Gfs And Ecmwf Agree That The Best Chance For Storms Will Be
Friday When A Dry Line Sweeps Across The Region. Will Leave Pops
On The Low Side Due To The Timing Issues That Far Out In The Forecast.

Abundant Cloud Cover And Rain Will Hold Afternoon Temps Down The
Next Couple Of Days. Expect Temperatures To Warm Next Week With The
Return Of The Sun And Increasing Low Level Moisture.

79
&&

[slorydn1]

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Fort Worth Tx
537 Am Cdt Sat Apr 17 2010

Txz091>093-100>104-115>119-129>134-141>145-156>160-174-172200-
/o.con.kfwd.fa.a.0001.000000t0000z-100419t0000z/
/00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z. oo/
Montague-cooke-grayson-young-jack-wise-denton-collin-stephens-
Palo Pinto-parker-tarrant-dallas-eastland-erath-hood-somervell-
Johnson-ellis-comanche-mills-hamilton-bosque-hill-lampasas-
Coryell-bell-mclennan-falls-milam-
537 Am Cdt Sat Apr 17 2010

...flood Watch Remains In Effect Through Sunday Evening...

The Flood Watch Continues For

* The Following Counties In North Central Texas...bell...
Bosque...collin...comanche...cooke...coryell...dal las...
Denton...eastland...ellis...erath...falls...grayso n...
Hamilton...hill...hood...jack...johnson...lampasas ...
Mclennan...mills...montague...palo Pinto...parker...
Somervell...stephens...tarrant...wise And Young. In South
Central Texas...milam.

* Through Sunday Evening

* A Slow-moving Upper Level System Will Meander Across West
Central Texas Through Sunday. This System Will Produce Prolonged
Rainfall Across Mainly Western Portions Of North Texas.

* Rainfall Amounts Across The Watch Area Through Sunday Will
Range From 2 To 4 Inches...with Locally Highers Amounts
Possible. This Amount Of Rain Falling Over A Two Day Period
Will Result In Rises On Area Rivers...streams...and Creeks.
Localized Flash Flooding Is Also A Threat Across The Flood
Watch Area Through The Weekend.

Precautionary/preparedness Actions...

A Flood Watch Means There Is A Potential For Flooding Based On
Current Forecasts.

You Should Monitor Later Forecasts And Be Alert For Possible
River Flood Warnings. Those Living In Areas Prone To Flooding
Should Be Prepared To Take Action Should Flooding Develop.

&&

$$

[slorydn1]

Today: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 57. East northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 49. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northeast wind around 10 mph.

Another rainy day on tap in Texas today...

If necessary the weather for tommorrow looks better.....

[slorydn1]

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Fort Worth Tx
538 Am Cdt Sun Apr 18 2010

Txz091>093-100>104-116>119-131>134-182245-
/o.con.kfwd.fa.a.0001.000000t0000z-100419t0000z/
/00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z. oo/
Montague-cooke-grayson-young-jack-wise-denton-collin-palo Pinto-
Parker-tarrant-dallas-hood-somervell-johnson-ellis-
538 Am Cdt Sun Apr 18 2010

...flood Watch Remains In Effect Through This Evening...

The Flood Watch Continues For

* The County Of Collin...cooke...dallas...denton...ellis...
Grayson...hood...jack...johnson...montague...palo Pinto...
Parker...somervell...tarrant...wise And Young.

* Through This Evening

* A Slow Moving Low Pressure System Will Continue To Drift Across
North Texas Today. Additional Rainfall Amounts Of 1 To 2 Inches
Will Be Possible Across The Watch Area. This Will Bring Average
Storm Total Accumulations To 2 To 4 Inches Across The
Area...with Some Higher Amounts.

* This Amount Of Rain Will Result In Possible Flooding Of Area
Rivers...streams...and Creeks. Localized Flash Flooding Is Also
A Threat Across The Flood Watch Area.

Precautionary/preparedness Actions...

A Flood Watch Means There Is A Potential For Flooding Based On
Current Forecasts.

You Should Monitor Later Forecasts And Be Alert For Possible
River Flood Warnings. Those Living In Areas Prone To Flooding
Should Be Prepared To Take Action Should Flooding Develop.

&&

$$